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Thread: Hamas attacks southern Israel

  1. #2561

    Default Re: Hamas attacks southern Israel

    Quote Originally Posted by Lord Thesaurian View Post
    Spoiler Alert, click show to read: 

    https://www.pcpsr.org/sites/default/...rch%202024.pdf

    Most Palestinians support Hamas over the PA, the nominal state government of “Palestine,” by orders of magnitude. 59% in prefer that Hamas remain in control of Gaza indefinitely, only 13% want the PA to return. 64% believe Hamas will defeat Israel militarily, and 73% oppose organizing a coalition of Arab peacekeeping forces under the PA to control Gaza after the war.

    71% support Hamas’ decision to launch the 10/7 attacks, 81% of those who have seen footage of the atrocities Hamas proudly recorded that day do not consider them problematic, and 72% are satisfied with Hamas’ performance since then.

    If an election were held, 63% of Palestinians say they would back militant jihadist candidates, including the political leader of Hamas. Only 8% would vote for Abbas. 71% want Abbas to resign from office altogether.

    Palestinians support intifada over negotiated peace and political resistance by a 2 to 1 margin. 63% oppose peace negotiations with the goal of a two state solution. 52% oppose a two state solution altogether, and 61% believe it is not even a realistic proposal.

    The plain fact of the matter is most Palestinians support Hamas, support intifada and hate the PA. Only in the minds of delusional westerners is a magic two state solution with equal rights for everyone headed by the PA a relevant concept.

    I have mentioned before how silly it is for western liberals and leftists to parade around with the flag of the despised PA demanding solutions that have already been rejected by the people they claim to advocate for. But it is even more ridiculous to see the mental gymnastics on display throughout, attempting to portray Hamas as some rogue fringe anomaly that no one actually supports and has no agency in the conflict. Palestinians support Hamas and the 10/7 attacks. Most western leftist protesters wreaking havoc in the streets support Hamas and the 10/7 attacks. And because of that support, Palestinians hold out hope for final military victory over the hated Jew, sure to be vanquished by the heroic holy warriors of Hamas.

    If people clutching pearls over anything the IDF is responsible for really want to end the war and stop the suffering, they would get tf out of the way and stop trying to prevent the IDF from finishing the job. Until then, Palestinians will continue to support intifada and oppose political negotiations, because they feel supported at home and abroad, and therefore they will continue to serve as meat shields for their jihadist heroes in a conflict that has no end in sight.
    Basically, we should ignore consistent data on Gazan majority preferring Palestinian Authority administration over Hamas in favour of "data" collected under wartime conditions. This is what we call lying through statistics.

    New Poll Shows Gazans Pragmatic Now, But Not Long-Term:



    Also notable is that Gazans continue to express disapproval of Hamas’ policies towards Israel. About half (53%) agree at least somewhat that “Hamas should stop calling for Israel’s destruction, and instead accept a permanent two-state solution based on the 1967 borders,” a percentage that has held steady over the last three years. 59% of Gazans also agree that Hamas should give up its armed units in favor of PA officers in Gaza. Likewise, nearly two-thirds of Gazans would agree at least somewhat with the need for Hamas to preserve the cease-fire in both Gaza and the West Bank.
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  3. #2563
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    Default Re: Hamas attacks southern Israel

    Quote Originally Posted by mishkin View Post
    Reread the beginning of this discussion. We all condemned the terrorist acts of October 7. Do we have to head each post denouncing the current barbarity that is the invasion of Gaza with a condemnation of the murders of civilians on October 7?
    Reread my answer to PoVG who made the exact same observation a few posts back.

    Quote Originally Posted by mishkin View Post
    They have been a political party and government fully accepted (to say the least) by Israel until very recently. They are not a regime, they are not the elected government of the Palestinian people unless you go back eighteen years ago. They are not a regime, they do not represent a state, the Hamas militias are not the army of Palestine.
    You're confusing legitimacy with power.
    "Lay these words to heart, Lucilius, that you may scorn the pleasure which comes from the applause of the majority. Many men praise you; but have you any reason for being pleased with yourself, if you are a person whom the many can understand?" - Lucius Annaeus Seneca -

  4. #2564

    Default Re: Hamas attacks southern Israel

    Quote Originally Posted by PoVG
    Basically, we should ignore consistent data on Gazan majority preferring Palestinian Authority administration over Hamas in favour of "data" collected under wartime conditions. This is what we call lying through statistics.
    In early 2021, half of Palestinians wanted to dissolve the PA altogether, 58% opposed a two state solution, 61% said it was not feasible, 60% supported a return to intifada. If an election were held in 2021, 59% said they would vote for Hamas’ Ismael Haniyeh, 27% for the PA’s Abbas. This is similar to the 2023 and 2024 data in my last post. It’s silly to call this relative consistency a wartime anomaly based on an article and poll that don’t contradict it in the first place. Lying through statistics might be a generous way to put it.

    In 2021, Fatah Tanzim’s Barghouti was an electoral favorite over Haniyeh by about 10 points, and was equally favored to replace Abbas in a hypothetical matchup. In 2024, support for Barghouti has grown to a 20 point lead over Haniyeh, and 40 points over Abbas. The most we can glean from the screenshot you posted is a sense that many Palestinians consistently prefer the leader of the first and second intifadas over the current one.

    The Washington Institute article you posted from 2022 reflects rather than rebuts the trend I cited.



    When asked about the top Palestinian national priority in the next five years, the majority (55%) still rate reclaiming “all of historic Palestine, from the river to the sea” over other options, such as prioritizing a two-state solution. Only about a third (37%) of Gazans say they would accept the “principle of two states for two peoples,” even if it was the last step towards ending the occupation.

    A similar percentage of Gazans (58%) likewise continue to assert that the conflict with Israel should not end even if a two-state is achieved and should continue until all of historic Palestine is liberated. An even higher majority (73%) agree at least somewhat with the assertion that any compromise with Israel should be temporary until the restoration of historic Palestine, a number that has remained almost the same over the past three years.

    Looking further ahead, Gazans' attitudes toward the conflict remain maximalist. 46% of Gazans believe that the “Palestinians will control almost all of Palestine, because God is on their side,” a number that has not changed a great deal in the last three years.
    Because of the attacks on 10/7 and the simultaneous involvement of Iran, Hezbollah and the Houthis, the IDF no longer has escalation dominance and cannot afford to rely on deterrence to maintain a ceasefire. That means a permanent ceasefire is not possible unless the IDF can convince Hamas they are defeated. The latter are unlikely to concede defeat while enjoying the support of the majority of Palestinians and powerful interests in the west and throughout the Muslim world. Iran is the winner here by far, and Israel has a long, grinding road ahead to any return to normal.
    Last edited by Lord Thesaurian; Yesterday at 10:50 PM.
    Of these facts there cannot be any shadow of doubt: for instance, that civil society was renovated in every part by Christian institutions; that in the strength of that renewal the human race was lifted up to better things-nay, that it was brought back from death to life, and to so excellent a life that nothing more perfect had been known before, or will come to be known in the ages that have yet to be. - Pope Leo XIII

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